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    Home /News /News /The decline in international oil prices has shaken the global oil market, with the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia all affected /

    The decline in international oil prices has shaken the global oil market, with the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia all affected

    author: Ann
    2025-04-28
           

     
           Recently, the international crude oil market has changed suddenly. The drop in oil prices is like a boulder thrown into a calm lake, causing ripples in the global oil industry. Major oil-producing countries such as the United States, Russia, and Saudi Arabia have been affected to varying degrees.
           The U.S. oil industry has been the first to bear the brunt. The latest data released by the EIA showed that U.S. crude oil production fell sharply by 305,000 barrels per day in January this year to 13.15 million barrels per day, not only hitting the lowest level since February 2024, but also the largest drop in U.S. monthly oil production since January 2024. This data intuitively reflects the impact of falling oil prices on U.S. oil production.
           The shale oil industry is in even more trouble. According to the Financial Times, shale oil industry executives have warned that U.S. shale oil producers are facing the most severe challenges in many years. The drop in oil prices caused by tariff policies has pushed some shale oil companies to the brink of bankruptcy. At present, oil prices have fallen below the break-even line for most shale producers in Texas, which has triggered market concerns that the shale oil industry may be forced to idle drilling platforms. Once the drilling platform is idle, it will not only affect the production of shale oil, but also cause a large number of employees to lose their jobs, causing a serious blow to the local economy.
           American oil industry executives have also said that the chaotic tariff policy has increased the cost of decision-making and made it difficult to plan investments and projects. Edwards, president of Latigo Petroleum, an independent producer in Odessa, Texas, bluntly stated that if oil prices do not recover in the next few months, the company's prospects will be precarious.
           Russia has not been spared either. Peskov, the Russian presidential press secretary, pointed out that the current global oil market situation is extremely unstable, and market participants generally hold pessimistic expectations, which is closely related to the US tariff policy. Oil revenue is an important part of Russia's budget revenue, and the decline in oil prices will undoubtedly have a negative impact on the Russian economy. Russia will closely monitor developments and take measures to mitigate this impact as much as possible.
           Saudi Arabia is also facing huge financial pressure. The drop in oil prices to a four-year low is undoubtedly a double whammy for Saudi Arabia, which relies on oil revenue to support fiscal and economic transformation. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates that Saudi Arabia needs oil prices to remain above $90 per barrel to achieve fiscal balance. Under the dual pressure of the current downward trend in oil prices and the reduction in Saudi Aramco's dividends, Fitch expects Saudi Arabia's fiscal deficit rate to expand to 4.1% in 2025. To cope with this situation, Saudi Arabia may need to further tighten its fiscal policy, or turn to more financing channels, and may even consider imposing new taxes. Edward, chief economist of Dubai National Bank, said that Saudi Arabia has a wide range of financing channels and is expected to continue to issue local and foreign currency bonds to maintain spending.
           The chain reaction caused by the decline in international oil prices is still continuing. How the United States, Russia, Saudi Arabia and other countries respond to this challenge will become the focus of attention in the global oil market.
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